So it looks like Fisher is going to have to do some un-Fisher like things. The Aztecs need to start blowing out teams and keep their foot on the pedal when they can. They are currently 12/13 seeds at 11-0 in conference and their next 5 opponents can't do anything but hurt our standing. A couple of 30 point differentials would help their cause with the number crunchers as their offensive numbers look terrible. A loss to any of the next 5 teams dooms the Aztecs chances for an at-large bid IMO. That means starting 16-0 with an @New Mexico and hosting UNLV to end the season.
The only good thing I could see in Lunardi's published numbers is the Aztec probability of getting to the Sweet 16 went from 8% last week to ~17% this week. That could indicate he's about to move them off the 12 line up to the 11 line which is the Mendoza line for deserving a spot in the tourney without winning their conference tournament. Used to subscribe to his service but no longer so can't see the underlying numbers.
The only good thing I could see in Lunardi's published numbers is the Aztec probability of getting to the Sweet 16 went from 8% last week to ~17% this week. That could indicate he's about to move them off the 12 line up to the 11 line which is the Mendoza line for deserving a spot in the tourney without winning their conference tournament. Used to subscribe to his service but no longer so can't see the underlying numbers.
